Resources

I lead emerging market foresight workshops, decision-making sessions, and futures engagements in the following categories, adapted to need:

2. WORKSHOPS. “Deep Dives,” Idea Factories, Corporate Retreats:

I design and run workshops to allow organizations to work through cross-industry, future, and emerging market perspectives. In addition to designing and managing the day, I’m also facilitator and catalyst – helping a group unlock its own knowledge, providing high-energy, interactive, creative techniques to stimulate fresh thinking (and hard-boiled realism to rein in future-fantasy,) before extracting and clarify key learning.

3. FACILITATED STUDIES. Longer-term engagements where managers surface and critically explore their perspectives on future market, industry, technology, and regulatory conditions, typically incorporating:

Horizon Scanning: identifying and considering external forces, and how they are influencing a particular sector or decision situation.

DEFT Analysis of Trends: isolating important trends, and their underlying Drivers, Enablers, Friction, and Turner-Blockers, a proprietary method for better foresight developed in Future Savvy and related articles.

Scenario Building: Proving structures whereby decision-makers mentally prepare for changing and unexpected conditions; developing understanding of the real range of outcomes that institutions should be ready for.

The following are publicly available scenario studies from various sources, collected and made available here in full text as a public resource. The documents reflect many different approaches to foresight work in general and scenario planning in particular, some more successful than others. Some are academic, some are promotional. The purpose, among other things, is to reflect the diversity of approaches. The categorization is approximate.

Following the scenarios studies are a few full-text future studies in various areas. If you have a scenario set or foresight study you would like to see posted here, please let me know.

SCENARIO STUDIES

Global

Global Scenarios, 2025 – Shell

Horizons 2020 – TNS Infratest / Siemens Executive Summary

Global Scenarios 1992-2020 – Shell

People and Connections, 2020 – Shell

Mapping the Global Future 2020 – National Intelligence Council

Business in a Fragile World 2012 – Accenture

Foresight 2020 – Economist Intelligence Unit. Executive Summary

Regional & Urban

Korean Scenarios for Peace – Nautilus Inst.

Middle East Scenarios – ACUNU