Nov 02 2009

Resources

Published by Adam Gordon

The following are publicly available scenario studies from various sources, collected and made available here in full text as a public resource. The documents reflect many different approaches to foresight work in general and scenario planning in particular, some more successful than others. Some are academic, some are promotional. The purpose, among other things, is to reflect the diversity of approaches. The categorization is approximate.

Following the scenarios studies are a few full-text future studies in various areas. If you have a scenario set or foresight study you would like to see posted here, please let me know.

SCENARIO STUDIES

Global

Global Scenarios, 2025 – Shell

Horizons 2020 – TNS Infratest / Siemens  Executive Summary

Global Scenarios 1992-2020 – Shell

People and Connections, 2020 – Shell

Mapping the Global Future 2020 – National Intelligence Council

Business in a Fragile World 2012 – Accenture

Foresight 2020 – Economist Intelligence Unit.  Executive Summary

Regional & Urban

Korean Scenarios for Peace – Nautilus Inst.

Middle East Scenarios – ACUNU

US-China Relations, 2010 – Nautilus

Latin America, 2020 – Shell

Southern Africa, 2015 – SAIIA

Future of Dublin – DIT

South Africa 2020 -  African Leadership Inst. / UNDP   Presentation

Europe

Making Sense of Tommorrow – Europe scenarios to 2008, Accenture

Foresight Futures 2020 – SPRU-Science Policy Research Unit, UK

Europe Scenarios 2010 – EC Forward Studies Unit

Russia 2017: Three Scenarios – Finland Committee for the Future

European Patent Office 2025

Education & Organizations

21st Century Organizations – 4 Plausible Prospects – GBN

Post-16 Learning – LSRC Tomorrow Project, UK

Higher Education Scenarios – Vision 2010

Future of Tertiary Education – OECD

Vocational Education Europe – Cedefop / ETF

Future Education Europe – Cedefop / ETF

Idaho’s Library Future 2006-2020 – Vision Conference

Workplace 2020 – ASTD Council of Governers (report)

Managing Tomorrow’s People 2020 – PWC

Health Care

Diabetes & Obesity, 2025 – Inst. Alternative Futures

The Coming of Age – Arizona Health Futures

Pharma Futures

Future of Health 2022 – WHO

Finance

Scenarios for Credit Unions, 2005 – DSI

Future of the Global Financial System – WEF.  Executive Summary

Energy

Canada Energy 2025 – Canadian National Energy Board.  Executive Summary

Energy 2020 – UK Govt. Performance & Innovation Unit (PIU) Project

Energy Scenarios, 2050 – Shell

Industry & Transport

Australian Textile Industry Scenarios – Technical Textiles Sector, Austrailia

North American Mining – MMSD North America

4 Seeable Futures, 2025 – Queensland Department of Transport

New Technology

Biotechnology Scenarios 200-2050 – World Business Council for Sustainable Development

Information Society Technologies Forum – Prest

Nanotechnology Scenarios 1; 2; 3; 4; 5; 6; 7; 8 – CRN

Internet Futures 2012 – Adaptive Path

Future of Mobile Connectivity – 1; 2; 3; 4 – Nokia

Sustainability & Development

Southern African Development Community, 2015 – CSIR/Nepad

Sustainable Development, 2050 – WBCSD

Scenarios for the Poorest, 2030 – Outsights

Trade Union Scenarios – Cosatu, South Africa

SA-WTO Trade Futures 2014 – SAIIA











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